District 2 and 3 Vote Counts: Second Round
We are going e going to a third round of voting for candidates in the 2nd and 3rd Congressional Districts.
The District 2, second round vote count (out of 986 total votes) . . .
Merrill Cook: 280 (28.4 percent)
Bil Dew: 566 votes (57.4 percent)
Brian Jenkins: 140 votes (14.20 percent) - eliminated
The District 3, second round, vote count (out of 1052 total votes) . . .
David Leavitt: 161 votes (15.39 percent) - eliminated
Chris Cannon: 356 votes (34.03 percent)
Jason Chaffetz: 529 (50.57 percent)
May 10th, 2008 at 4:29 pm
Prediction — Cannon is out this afternoon.
Even with some activity on the part of the Leavitt campaign to back Cannon, it will probably not be enough.
Right now, 66% of the delegates have chosen someone besides Cannon. He needs about 40% of Leavitt’s delegates to survive. But, given their pre-existing hostility to him, I predict he’ll fall short by 2-3%.
Key question: How will Chaffetz wear in a general election? He’ll probably win but he comes off too hot for the Utah electorate. He may hurt other Republicans.
A very interesting choice.
May 10th, 2008 at 4:56 pm
I’m blown away by Leavitt’s poor showing. I thought the name ID and his unwillingness to be really critical of the others would play much better than it did. I’m also very surprised that Jason’s residency didn’t have more sway.
I’m interested in Steve’s observation that Jason is “too hot.” By that do you mean he’s too controversial, too critical of the others, too strident? Also, what is the knock on Chris? He’s smart. He’s generally conservative–probably has a similar voting record to Hatch, Bennett and Bishop. He’s not glib or charismatic. But why is he perennially challenged?